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Nov 3, 2012
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and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. obviously you have seven candidates on the ballot. i think those polls that had the plus four, plus five overstated obama's support because they overcounting a strong democratic county, and they had a party differential in those polls of democrats with an 8 point
and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going...
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Nov 3, 2012
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but i knew when the economic data came out today cbs would report it this way. the labor department's october employment report, the last big reading on the economy before election day shows stronger than expected job gains. but more people were look for work last month and that pushed unemployment a tenth of a point higher to 7 .9%. still a pickup of 171,000 jobs is significant. economist stewart hoffman calls it the real deal. >> a good gain in jobs, a widespread gains, this isn't a fluke, it's a genuine improvement in the jobs market. >> in a moment lou dobbs will tell us if he agrees with that point of view. here is what is really happening. unemployment ticked up to 7.9%. however, there were more jobs available in october. in fact, the workforce rose by 578,000 americans. that's good. the reason unemployment went up is because more americans are now looking for jobs because more jobs are becoming available. the bad news is that unemployment among african americans jumped almost a full percentage point from 13.4% to 14.3%. that is a disaster. also, the real
but i knew when the economic data came out today cbs would report it this way. the labor department's october employment report, the last big reading on the economy before election day shows stronger than expected job gains. but more people were look for work last month and that pushed unemployment a tenth of a point higher to 7 .9%. still a pickup of 171,000 jobs is significant. economist stewart hoffman calls it the real deal. >> a good gain in jobs, a widespread gains, this isn't a...
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Nov 2, 2012
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the cbs radio went all over the country. cbs radio is a powerful agent. they were ecstatic about the economy coming back. >> happy days are here again. >> consumer confidence suspect. anticipating better unemployment number tomorrow. if that happens, and i believe it will, then the obama team dominates the news cycle for friday, saturday, and sunday. and the romney team doesn't really have any way to reply. they can't poo poo it because that would seem chir issue will. >> we knew this though, right? o. >> we will see what the numbers are. i really don't think it's going to make any difference in the final four days of this election. >> bill: you don't believe that's what the press is going to do. >> the press as you and i have talked about, the press has been, i think, at its lowest point in the credibility and reliability in this presidential election cycle. i think after this election is over, there is going to be hell to pay for the american people for a whole bunch of reasons. >> bill: there is going to be polling -- >> -- i don't think it matters. th
the cbs radio went all over the country. cbs radio is a powerful agent. they were ecstatic about the economy coming back. >> happy days are here again. >> consumer confidence suspect. anticipating better unemployment number tomorrow. if that happens, and i believe it will, then the obama team dominates the news cycle for friday, saturday, and sunday. and the romney team doesn't really have any way to reply. they can't poo poo it because that would seem chir issue will. >> we...
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Nov 1, 2012
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it runs just exactly counter to the quinnipiac "new york times" cbs poll. >> bill: okay, now, when these votes are excuse me, when these votes are cast in states before election day, they are immediately cointed, right? are they immediately counted? >> no. they are generally put aside. what they do is they catalog who has cast the early ballot. >> so they know who is voting. now, on a -- just on a toe tattle basis in ohio. are more -- have more republicans voted than democrats in ohio or is it just a percentage that's higher? >> no, no. it's just -- there are more democrats who voted than republicans. but four years ago the democrats had a huge massive in the early vote. you know as i showed in those numbers, there are a lot more republicans voting than voted four years ago and a lot fewer democrats. so there is a great -- there is parody between the two parties. >> bill: why do you think if the polls say ohio is so close that more democrats voted ahead of time than republicans? >> well, traditionally democrats do a better job of turning out certain elements of their coalition and absent
it runs just exactly counter to the quinnipiac "new york times" cbs poll. >> bill: okay, now, when these votes are excuse me, when these votes are cast in states before election day, they are immediately cointed, right? are they immediately counted? >> no. they are generally put aside. what they do is they catalog who has cast the early ballot. >> so they know who is voting. now, on a -- just on a toe tattle basis in ohio. are more -- have more republicans voted than...